Cup Paulista Quarter-finals

Global 3-4

Mirassol

5 1

2 - 3

RB Brasil

8 2

04 NOV 2018 19:00

Full-time

Mirassol vs RB Brasil analysis


56	ELO	58
-9.7%	Tilt	-16.1%
403º	General ELO ranking	25503º
31º	Country ELO ranking	681º
ELO win probability

39.9%

Mirassol

26.9%

Draw

33.2%

RB Brasil

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

39.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%

26.9%

Draw

0-0

8.2%

1-1

12.8%

2-2

3-3

0.9%

4-4

0.1%

26.9%

33.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mirassol

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
28 Oct. 2018	RBB 1 - 1 MIR 46% 26% 29%	57	58	1	0
20 Oct. 2018	MIR 2 - 3 AUD 55% 24% 21%	58	48	10	-1
17 Oct. 2018	SAN 1 - 2 MIR 35% 27% 38%	57	55	2	+1
14 Oct. 2018	MIR 0 - 0 RBB 39% 27% 34%	57	58	1	0
08 Oct. 2018	RBB 1 - 1 MIR 45% 26% 30%	57	58	1	0

Matches

RB Brasil

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
28 Oct. 2018	RBB 1 - 1 MIR 46% 26% 29%	58	57	1	0
20 Oct. 2018	RBB 2 - 0 SAN 50% 25% 25%	57	55	2	+1
17 Oct. 2018	AUD 1 - 0 RBB 25% 26% 49%	58	47	11	-1
14 Oct. 2018	MIR 0 - 0 RBB 39% 27% 34%	58	57	1	0
08 Oct. 2018	RBB 1 - 1 MIR 45% 26% 30%	58	57	1	0