Mirassol vs Penapolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
MIR
1 - 1
VEL
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
FER
0 - 2
MIR
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
NOR
0 - 0
MIR
19%
24%
57%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
MIR
1 - 1
LIN
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
MIR
2 - 0
XVD
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
NOR
2 - 1
PEN
27%
26%
48%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 3
FER
26%
26%
49%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
PEN
0 - 5
XVD
39%
27%
35%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
VEL
0 - 1
PEN
31%
27%
43%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
LIN
3 - 1
PEN
41%
26%
34%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |