Mirassol vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
70%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
MIR
1 - 1
ITU
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
MIR
0 - 3
SAN
22%
22%
56%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
BRA
1 - 3
MIR
65%
20%
15%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 1
MIR
90%
8%
2%
|
53 | 83 | 30 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
MIR
3 - 3
MAR
31%
24%
45%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
PAL
4 - 1
SAN
53%
25%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2009 |
RPO
0 - 2
PAL
36%
24%
40%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
PPE
2 - 3
PAL
30%
26%
44%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2009 |
PAL
5 - 1
RPO
72%
18%
11%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
PAL
3 - 0
MAR
78%
15%
7%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |