Mirassol vs Novorizontino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
33%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 0
MIR
25%
28%
47%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
MIR
0 - 2
CAX
48%
28%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
MIR
2 - 0
INT
61%
23%
17%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2018 |
INT
1 - 0
MIR
26%
28%
46%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
CAX
0 - 0
MIR
44%
28%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 2
LIN
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2018 |
LIN
3 - 2
NOV
32%
26%
42%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
MAC
0 - 1
NOV
28%
25%
47%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 1
MAC
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
NOV
4 - 2
AME
69%
20%
12%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |