Mirassol vs Noroeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
7.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
LIN
0 - 0
MIR
29%
25%
46%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
XVD
2 - 2
MIR
34%
26%
40%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
MIR
4 - 2
PEN
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
MIR
1 - 1
VEL
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
FER
0 - 2
MIR
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
NOR
0 - 2
LIN
28%
26%
46%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
NOR
1 - 0
FER
14%
21%
65%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
XVD
2 - 1
NOR
65%
22%
14%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
NOR
2 - 1
PEN
27%
26%
48%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
VEL
0 - 0
NOR
51%
26%
23%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |