Mirassol vs Nacional SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
19.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 2
MIR
33%
26%
41%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
AGU
1 - 2
MIR
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2019 |
MIR
2 - 0
XVD
32%
26%
42%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
MIR
1 - 1
COM
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
LIN
0 - 0
MIR
28%
26%
46%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 2
MIR
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
XVD
4 - 1
NAC
57%
24%
19%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 0
AGU
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
JUV
1 - 2
NAC
42%
28%
31%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 0
SCS
81%
13%
7%
|
50 | 20 | 30 | 0 |