Mirassol vs Nacional PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
8.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
POR
1 - 1
MIR
21%
28%
52%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2020 |
MIR
1 - 0
FER
45%
28%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
CAS
0 - 0
MIR
27%
29%
44%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
MIR
6 - 0
TCW
71%
20%
10%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
CAB
3 - 1
MIR
23%
27%
50%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Nacional PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
NPR
0 - 3
CAS
11%
20%
69%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
NPR
1 - 2
BAN
15%
24%
61%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
NPR
0 - 2
GEM
54%
21%
25%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
NPR
0 - 0
APU
52%
21%
27%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
POR
3 - 1
NPR
63%
22%
16%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |