Mirassol vs Matonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
15%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
MIR
2 - 1
AGU
54%
22%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 1
MIR
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MIR
1 - 3
FER
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
1 - 0
MIR
16%
20%
64%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2015 |
MIR
1 - 0
COM
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Matonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
MAT
2 - 3
MON
40%
24%
36%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 0
MAT
56%
22%
22%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MAT
0 - 1
PAU
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
VEL
1 - 0
MAT
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
4 - 2
MAT
51%
23%
26%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |