Mirassol vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
10.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 0
MIR
25%
25%
50%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 1
MIR
14%
21%
65%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
MIR
0 - 0
VOT
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
MIR
0 - 1
SAN
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
MIR
2 - 0
BAT
63%
21%
15%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 2
VOT
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
CAT
1 - 1
MAR
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 1
OLI
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
MON
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
MAR
53%
25%
23%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |