Mirassol vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
BRA
0 - 0
MIR
43%
26%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
MIR
0 - 2
PAL
14%
22%
64%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
SAO
0 - 2
MIR
59%
23%
19%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
MIR
43%
27%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
MIR
0 - 2
SAO
15%
23%
62%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
BOT
1 - 0
ITU
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
ITU
1 - 1
PPE
12%
21%
68%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
UBE
2 - 0
ITU
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
ITU
78%
16%
6%
|
54 | 85 | 31 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
ITU
0 - 0
SAN
33%
26%
41%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |