Mirassol vs Grêmio Barueri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
58.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2010 |
MIR
1 - 1
SAO
6%
16%
78%
|
54 | 86 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
ITU
4 - 0
MIR
45%
25%
31%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
MIR
0 - 3
UBE
59%
23%
17%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
ITU
1 - 4
MIR
47%
26%
28%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
USC
2 - 0
MIR
50%
27%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2010 |
GRÊ
2 - 2
PAL
30%
26%
45%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
SER
1 - 1
GRÊ
13%
19%
68%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
GRÊ
0 - 0
ATP
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
GRE
4 - 2
GRÊ
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
VIT
2 - 1
GRÊ
54%
23%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |