Mirassol vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 1
MIR
21%
24%
56%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
MIR
0 - 2
PAL
12%
22%
66%
|
66 | 90 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
MIR
4 - 1
SAO
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2023 |
BOT
1 - 1
MIR
45%
25%
31%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2023 |
MIR
0 - 1
INT
76%
16%
9%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
FER
0 - 1
SAO
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
FER
80%
15%
6%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
BRA
2 - 0
FER
83%
12%
5%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2023 |
FER
1 - 2
SAN
49%
25%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
FER
1 - 2
SAO
9%
19%
72%
|
58 | 87 | 29 | 0 |