Mirassol vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
MIR
2 - 1
CAT
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
BAT
1 - 1
MIR
28%
26%
47%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
3 - 1
MIR
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
MIR
1 - 2
RIO
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 1
MIR
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
COM
0 - 2
FER
42%
27%
32%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 0
COM
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
MAT
3 - 1
COM
39%
25%
37%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
COM
4 - 2
AGU
46%
25%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
NOV
4 - 1
COM
41%
25%
34%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -2 |