Mirassol vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
VOT
0 - 1
MIR
32%
24%
45%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
BAT
1 - 0
MIR
28%
25%
47%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
MIR
1 - 1
SAN
74%
16%
9%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
BOT
3 - 1
MIR
77%
16%
7%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
MIR
1 - 2
FER
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
COM
2 - 0
SAN
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
COM
3 - 0
BOT
13%
21%
66%
|
54 | 82 | 28 | +3 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
FER
0 - 1
COM
53%
25%
21%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
BAT
1 - 0
COM
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
COM
1 - 4
VOT
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -2 |