Mirassol vs RB Bragantino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
40.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
PPE
1 - 3
MIR
75%
15%
10%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
PAL
1 - 1
MIR
86%
11%
3%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
MIR
0 - 1
POR
20%
23%
57%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
SER
2 - 1
MIR
35%
26%
40%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
MIR
1 - 2
RIO
58%
22%
20%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
RB Bragantino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 3
GRÊ
39%
24%
37%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
RIO
1 - 3
BRA
26%
24%
50%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 0
SAO
20%
24%
56%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
SAN
4 - 1
BRA
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
PPE
4 - 3
BRA
59%
21%
20%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |