Mirassol vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
25.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 1
MIR
79%
14%
7%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
MIR
0 - 1
COR
21%
27%
53%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
MIR
2 - 3
BRA
20%
26%
55%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
MIR
1 - 0
INT
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
ITU
1 - 1
MIR
44%
25%
31%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2021 |
BOT
0 - 0
PAL
10%
24%
66%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
ITU
1 - 2
BOT
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 0
BOT
85%
11%
3%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
BOT
0 - 1
PPE
25%
24%
51%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
FER
5 - 0
BOT
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -2 |