Mirassol vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
39.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
OES
2 - 1
MIR
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 2
MIR
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
MIR
0 - 1
ITU
49%
23%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
PAU
1 - 1
MIR
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
MIR
0 - 1
COR
14%
26%
60%
|
55 | 87 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 1
BOT
29%
25%
46%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
BOT
0 - 0
COR
25%
29%
46%
|
60 | 87 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
BOT
3 - 1
GUA
37%
25%
39%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
ATL
2 - 2
BOT
46%
24%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
BOT
2 - 0
SAO
50%
23%
27%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |