Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 3-1
Mirandés vs Racing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
52%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirandés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 2
MIR
81%
14%
5%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
MIR
0 - 1
ALA
61%
23%
17%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2011 |
MIR
1 - 1
VIL
20%
25%
55%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
RUN
0 - 0
MIR
36%
29%
35%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
MIR
2 - 0
RSO
80%
14%
5%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
RAY
4 - 3
RAC
47%
24%
29%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
RAC
0 - 0
RSO
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2011 |
RAC
3 - 2
RAY
57%
24%
20%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ATH
1 - 1
RAC
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
RAC
1 - 0
VIL
34%
27%
39%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |