Copa Federacion Last 16
Global 5-2
Mirandés vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirandés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
RAC
3 - 2
MIR
43%
27%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
MIR
1 - 1
IZA
70%
19%
11%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 3
MIR
27%
24%
49%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2019 |
MIR
3 - 1
ARE
67%
21%
12%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
CDV
0 - 2
MIR
16%
25%
59%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
BAR
0 - 1
UDL
52%
27%
21%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
ROB
0 - 1
BAR
40%
28%
32%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 3
MIR
27%
24%
49%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
GER
0 - 1
BAR
29%
30%
42%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 0
LEI
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |