Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 1-0
Mirandés vs Bilbao Ath. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
33.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirandés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
MIR
2 - 0
ATB
33%
32%
36%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
SAL
2 - 1
MIR
17%
24%
60%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1973 |
MIR
2 - 0
PEG
33%
31%
35%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +4 |
| 02 Sep. 1973 |
GDE
5 - 0
MIR
76%
15%
9%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1973 |
MIR
0 - 2
AND
42%
26%
31%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
TUR
2 - 1
ATH
40%
30%
31%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
ATH
5 - 0
GIN
85%
11%
4%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1973 |
RAC
2 - 2
ATH
13%
24%
63%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1973 |
ATH
2 - 0
LUG
79%
15%
6%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 May. 1973 |
GIM
2 - 1
ATH
56%
25%
19%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |