Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 4-3
Mirandés vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
36.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirandés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1948 |
MIR
1 - 1
ALA
39%
22%
39%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
POP
3 - 0
MIR
79%
12%
9%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
MIR
1 - 2
GIM
40%
22%
38%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
BUR
4 - 0
MIR
88%
8%
4%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
MIR
3 - 0
SAN
67%
17%
16%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1948 |
MIR
1 - 1
ALA
39%
22%
39%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
ALA
5 - 0
TOL
83%
10%
6%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
SDE
2 - 0
ALA
52%
21%
27%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
ALA
1 - 1
RUN
69%
16%
15%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
SSC
0 - 1
ALA
67%
17%
16%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |