Mirandela vs Vilar de Perdizes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
33.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
2º
13º
13º
31
3º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirandela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
PEV
2 - 1
MIR
60%
23%
17%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
DUM
0 - 2
MIR
57%
21%
23%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
MIR
0 - 2
OSA
56%
22%
21%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
NAC
6 - 1
MIR
85%
12%
4%
|
35 | 63 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 2
MIR
25%
24%
51%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Vilar de Perdizes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
VPE
0 - 0
DUM
43%
23%
35%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
OSA
1 - 1
VPE
37%
22%
41%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
VPE
2 - 2
VIL
64%
18%
18%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
VPE
0 - 2
FCP
2%
11%
87%
|
32 | 89 | 57 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
RIB
0 - 0
VPE
63%
19%
18%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |