Mirandela vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
50.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirandela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
LUS
1 - 0
MIR
55%
24%
21%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MIR
2 - 2
FAF
39%
27%
34%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
OSL
0 - 1
MIR
26%
28%
47%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
MIR
2 - 1
VIA
60%
23%
17%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
PED
0 - 1
MIR
40%
27%
33%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
VAR
3 - 2
SOU
65%
22%
14%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
VAR
3 - 1
SAN
69%
20%
11%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
FAM
2 - 2
VAR
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
VAR
2 - 0
TIR
64%
23%
14%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
RIB
0 - 1
VAR
23%
24%
53%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |