Mirandela vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
46.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirandela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
MIR
1 - 1
OLI
16%
21%
63%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
TIR
2 - 0
MIR
72%
18%
10%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
MIR
1 - 1
GON
26%
23%
51%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MIR
4 - 1
LOU
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ADO
1 - 4
MIR
35%
25%
39%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
LOU
1 - 2
VAR
19%
25%
55%
|
59 | 33 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
VAR
1 - 0
CAM
73%
18%
9%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
OSL
1 - 0
VAR
20%
25%
55%
|
59 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
VAR
3 - 0
CHA
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
FAM
0 - 1
VAR
59%
24%
17%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |