Mirandela vs Montalegre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
45.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
2º
13º
13º
34
2º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirandela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 0
MIR
34%
25%
42%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
POR
0 - 0
MIR
42%
23%
35%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
MIR
1 - 1
MAR
23%
23%
54%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 0
MIR
64%
22%
15%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MIR
1 - 1
VPE
42%
25%
33%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Montalegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
DUM
53%
22%
26%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
MON
4 - 2
OSA
55%
21%
24%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 0
MON
22%
22%
57%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
MON
0 - 0
RIB
45%
22%
33%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
FCP
4 - 0
MON
91%
7%
1%
|
36 | 89 | 53 | 0 |