Mirandela vs Montalegre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
45.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
2º
13º
13º
34
2º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirandela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 0
MIR
34%
25%
42%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
POR
0 - 0
MIR
42%
23%
35%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
MIR
1 - 1
MAR
23%
23%
54%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 0
MIR
64%
22%
15%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MIR
1 - 1
VPE
42%
25%
33%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Montalegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
DUM
53%
22%
26%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
MON
4 - 2
OSA
55%
21%
24%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 0
MON
22%
22%
57%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
MON
0 - 0
RIB
45%
22%
33%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
FCP
4 - 0
MON
91%
7%
1%
|
38 | 89 | 51 | -1 |