Mirandela vs Amarante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
14.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirandela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 0
MIR
62%
24%
14%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
MIR
1 - 0
CAR
81%
13%
6%
|
50 | 22 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MIR
2 - 2
TIR
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
MIR
3 - 2
MAR
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 0
MIR
32%
25%
42%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
AMA
4 - 0
PAD
62%
21%
18%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
AMA
0 - 3
SAN
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
VIZ
0 - 0
AMA
64%
22%
14%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
AMA
4 - 2
ANG
70%
18%
12%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ANA
1 - 2
AMA
47%
25%
29%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |