Miramar vs Wellington Phoenix II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.3%
49.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
5.3%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
5º
4º
24
5º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Miramar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
MIR
0 - 4
WEL
24%
20%
56%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
MIR
5 - 1
WAF
95%
4%
1%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
WKA
1 - 2
MIR
42%
21%
38%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
MIR
2 - 3
PET
81%
11%
8%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
MIR
1 - 0
WSU
70%
15%
15%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
WEL
4 - 2
WEL
84%
11%
6%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
WEL
3 - 2
PET
86%
9%
5%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
AFC
3 - 4
WEL
50%
20%
30%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
WEL
3 - 5
EAS
39%
24%
37%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 1
WEL
56%
20%
24%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |