Miramar vs Wellington Olympic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.7%
13%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
78.9%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
10%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.1%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
3.4%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11%
0-5
4%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.9%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
5º
4º
51
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Miramar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
NAP
2 - 3
MIR
58%
19%
23%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
MIR
8 - 1
NWA
94%
4%
1%
|
25 | 9 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
PET
0 - 9
MIR
15%
17%
68%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
NAP
2 - 1
MIR
55%
20%
25%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
WSU
2 - 1
MIR
40%
22%
38%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Wellington Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
WEL
8 - 0
IBU
88%
8%
4%
|
49 | 8 | 41 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
WEL
4 - 0
MAN
86%
9%
5%
|
49 | 24 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
WEL
8 - 0
STO
87%
8%
4%
|
49 | 10 | 39 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
WEL
8 - 0
STO
88%
8%
4%
|
49 | 10 | 39 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
WKA
0 - 5
WEL
10%
15%
75%
|
49 | 22 | 27 | 0 |