Miramar vs Wellington Olympic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.5%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
65.2%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
8%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.9%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
2º
8º
7º
40
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
40 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
21 | 24 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Miramar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
MIR
4 - 4
STO
80%
12%
8%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
WAF
0 - 2
MIR
3%
8%
89%
|
33 | 9 | 24 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
MIR
3 - 4
WKA
83%
10%
7%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
PET
4 - 3
MIR
10%
14%
77%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
WSU
3 - 1
MIR
13%
15%
71%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | -3 |
Matches
Wellington Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
WEL
9 - 3
WAF
87%
9%
4%
|
50 | 10 | 40 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
WSU
2 - 5
WEL
10%
16%
74%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
WEL
6 - 3
NAP
83%
11%
5%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
STO
3 - 2
WEL
6%
12%
82%
|
50 | 17 | 33 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
WEL
7 - 0
NWA
88%
9%
3%
|
50 | 16 | 34 | 0 |