Miramar vs Waterside Karori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.6%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
16.4%
18.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
5º
4º
24
4º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Miramar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
WEL
3 - 0
MIR
89%
7%
3%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
MIR
2 - 3
NAP
60%
18%
22%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
NWA
0 - 6
MIR
10%
14%
76%
|
29 | 11 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MIR
1 - 1
PET
86%
9%
5%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
MIR
3 - 2
WSU
70%
16%
14%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Waterside Karori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
WKA
2 - 1
IBU
85%
10%
5%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
WKA
2 - 1
WEL
30%
20%
50%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
WKA
4 - 1
STO
71%
16%
14%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
WSU
2 - 3
WKA
55%
20%
25%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
WEL
4 - 1
WKA
86%
9%
5%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | 0 |