Miramar vs Waterside Karori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
3.49
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.2%
6.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
2º
8º
7º
18
6º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
21 | 24 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Miramar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
PET
4 - 3
MIR
10%
14%
77%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
WSU
3 - 1
MIR
13%
15%
71%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
MIR
3 - 0
STO
94%
5%
2%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
NAP
1 - 2
MIR
23%
19%
58%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MIR
3 - 0
NWA
92%
5%
2%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Waterside Karori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
WKA
2 - 2
WSU
41%
21%
38%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
NAP
5 - 0
WKA
56%
20%
25%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
NWA
1 - 4
WKA
26%
20%
53%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
WKA
2 - 3
STO
81%
12%
8%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
WKA
1 - 2
WEL
8%
14%
79%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | 0 |