Miramar vs North Wellington AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
94%
Win probability
4
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.9%
10-1
0.1%
+9
1%
8-0
1.9%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
<0%
+8
2.3%
7-0
3.9%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
+7
4.8%
6-0
6.7%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
8.6%
5-0
10.1%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
13.4%
4-0
12.6%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.7%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
4.3%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
2.1%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
4.3%
1.3%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
5º
4º
9
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Miramar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
PET
0 - 9
MIR
15%
17%
68%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
NAP
2 - 1
MIR
55%
20%
25%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
WSU
2 - 1
MIR
40%
22%
38%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
MIR
5 - 0
IBU
92%
6%
3%
|
26 | 8 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
WKA
0 - 1
MIR
33%
20%
46%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
North Wellington AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
NWA
1 - 4
IBU
73%
14%
13%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
WEL
2 - 1
NWA
90%
7%
3%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
NWA
3 - 1
STO
40%
20%
40%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
NAP
2 - 1
NWA
84%
11%
6%
|
10 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
WKA
3 - 3
NWA
82%
11%
7%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | 0 |