Miramar vs North Wellington AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.9%
Win probability
4.11
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.8%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1%
8-0
1.7%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.3%
7-0
3.3%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.6%
6-0
5.6%
7-1
2.2%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
8.2%
5-0
8.2%
6-1
3.8%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
12.8%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
5.5%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11%
5.4%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.3%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
5.4%
2.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
2º
8º
7º
7
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
21 | 24 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Miramar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
WEL
3 - 1
MIR
72%
17%
12%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MIR
1 - 4
WEL
27%
21%
53%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -3 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
AUC
2 - 1
MIR
77%
14%
9%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MIR
2 - 3
MEL
66%
18%
16%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MIR
0 - 3
CHR
80%
13%
8%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
North Wellington AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
NWA
1 - 3
WSU
35%
21%
45%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
NWA
3 - 1
PET
57%
19%
25%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
WUF
5 - 1
NWA
44%
21%
35%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
WEL
2 - 0
NWA
92%
6%
2%
|
21 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
NWA
1 - 4
HNW
58%
19%
23%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |