Miramar vs North Wellington AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.4%
Win probability
3.46
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.2%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
3%
6-0
5.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.2%
5-0
9.1%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
+5
11.1%
4-0
13.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.7%
3-0
15.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.4%
5.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
5.9%
1.6%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.4%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Miramar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
HNW
2 - 3
MIR
5%
12%
83%
|
49 | 21 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
MIR
5 - 1
WSU
84%
10%
6%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
MIR
2 - 1
WEL
49%
23%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
MIR
9 - 0
WSU
88%
9%
4%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
IBU
1 - 3
MIR
3%
8%
89%
|
48 | 9 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
North Wellington AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
NWA
5 - 1
WSU
18%
18%
64%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
WKA
1 - 2
NWA
65%
17%
18%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
NWA
3 - 2
NAP
13%
15%
71%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
NWA
1 - 6
WEL
9%
13%
78%
|
17 | 43 | 26 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
WEL
3 - 1
NWA
90%
7%
3%
|
17 | 43 | 26 | 0 |