Miramar vs Napier City Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
4.4%
5-3
1.5%
6-4
0.3%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
5.8%
4-3
2.4%
5-4
0.6%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
18.8%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
15.6%
17.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
2º
8º
7º
30
1º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
30 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
21 | 24 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Miramar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
STO
4 - 2
MIR
10%
13%
77%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
NWA
2 - 5
MIR
9%
13%
78%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2023 |
WEL
3 - 1
MIR
73%
16%
12%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
MIR
0 - 7
WEL
17%
18%
65%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
MIR
4 - 4
STO
80%
12%
8%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Napier City Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
NAP
0 - 3
WKA
51%
20%
29%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
WSU
1 - 3
NAP
49%
20%
31%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
NAP
2 - 2
PET
69%
16%
15%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
NAP
8 - 2
STO
69%
16%
15%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
NAP
4 - 1
STO
82%
11%
7%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |