Miramar vs Island Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.2%
Win probability
4.08
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.9%
8-0
1.5%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.1%
7-0
3%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.4%
6-0
5.2%
7-1
2.2%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.9%
5-0
7.7%
6-1
3.8%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
12.4%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
5.6%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.4%
5.8%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
5.8%
2.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
5º
4º
12
8º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Miramar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
WKA
0 - 1
MIR
33%
20%
46%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
WEL
2 - 0
MIR
44%
21%
35%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
MIR
6 - 0
TAW
81%
11%
8%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
STO
0 - 2
MIR
15%
16%
69%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
MIR
4 - 3
WKA
65%
16%
18%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Island Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
WSU
5 - 1
IBU
86%
9%
5%
|
8 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
IBU
1 - 2
PET
23%
19%
58%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
IBU
1 - 3
WEL
10%
13%
77%
|
9 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
IBU
4 - 3
STO
14%
16%
70%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
WKA
2 - 1
IBU
85%
10%
5%
|
8 | 24 | 16 | 0 |