Miramar vs Island Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.2%
Win probability
4.08
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.9%
8-0
1.5%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.1%
7-0
3%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.4%
6-0
5.2%
7-1
2.2%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.9%
5-0
7.7%
6-1
3.8%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
12.4%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
5.6%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.4%
5.8%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
5.8%
2.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
5º
4º
12
8º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Miramar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
WKA
0 - 1
MIR
33%
20%
46%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
WEL
2 - 0
MIR
44%
21%
35%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
MIR
6 - 0
TAW
81%
11%
8%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
STO
0 - 2
MIR
15%
16%
69%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
MIR
4 - 3
WKA
65%
16%
18%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Island Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
WSU
5 - 1
IBU
86%
9%
5%
|
9 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
IBU
1 - 2
PET
23%
19%
58%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
IBU
1 - 3
WEL
10%
13%
77%
|
10 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
IBU
4 - 3
STO
14%
16%
70%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
WKA
2 - 1
IBU
85%
10%
5%
|
9 | 26 | 17 | 0 |