Reilac Shiga vs Okinawa SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.9%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.5%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.1%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.9%
3.1%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
6º
3º
26
13º
14º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 44 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
42% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 43 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
48% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
7º
|
60% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
53% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
60.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
44% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
24% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
43% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
91.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reilac Shiga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
MIO
1 - 3
REA
25%
27%
48%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
MIO
1 - 0
KUS
41%
26%
34%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CRS
0 - 1
MIO
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
MIO
2 - 2
HON
10%
18%
72%
|
40 | 65 | 25 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
VER
0 - 1
MIO
76%
16%
7%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Okinawa SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
OSV
1 - 0
REA
10%
22%
69%
|
17 | 53 | 36 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
KUS
1 - 0
OSV
87%
10%
4%
|
17 | 43 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
OSV
1 - 2
CRS
7%
14%
79%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
HON
3 - 1
OSV
83%
12%
5%
|
17 | 65 | 48 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
AVI
3 - 0
OSV
82%
13%
5%
|
17 | 77 | 60 | 0 |