Reilac Shiga vs Okinawa SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.9%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.5%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.1%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.9%
3.1%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+77%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
6º
3º
26
13º
14º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 44 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
42% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 43 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
48% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
7º
|
60% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
53% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
60.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
44% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
24% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
43% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
91.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reilac Shiga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
MIO
1 - 3
REA
25%
27%
48%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
MIO
1 - 0
KUS
41%
26%
34%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +3 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CRS
0 - 1
MIO
52%
24%
24%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
MIO
2 - 2
HON
10%
18%
72%
|
39 | 64 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
VER
0 - 1
MIO
76%
16%
7%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Okinawa SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
OSV
1 - 0
REA
10%
22%
69%
|
15 | 52 | 37 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
KUS
1 - 0
OSV
87%
10%
4%
|
15 | 42 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
OSV
1 - 2
CRS
7%
14%
79%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
HON
3 - 1
OSV
83%
12%
5%
|
16 | 64 | 48 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
AVI
3 - 0
OSV
82%
13%
5%
|
16 | 76 | 60 | 0 |