Minsk vs Gomel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
48.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
10º
16º
14º
28
6º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
41 | 62 |
1º
|
62.5% | |
|
1º
|
43 | 58 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 57 |
3º
|
32.5% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 52 |
4º
|
46.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 44 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 43 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 42 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 42 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 40 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 38 |
11º
|
27.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 34 |
12º
|
39.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 28 |
13º
|
31% | |
|
|
13º
|
18 | 27 |
14º
|
36.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 25 |
15º
|
43% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 18 |
16º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
41.5% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
36.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
22% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Minsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
NAF
0 - 2
MIN
43%
27%
31%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MIN
3 - 2
DIN
21%
26%
53%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 1
MIN
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
BAT
0 - 1
MIN
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
BEL
3 - 1
MIN
35%
25%
41%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Gomel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
DNM
2 - 0
GOM
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
GOM
2 - 1
FCS
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
GOM
2 - 0
BAT
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
NEM
1 - 1
GOM
42%
27%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
GOM
1 - 2
FKS
59%
23%
19%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |