Minsk II vs Smolevichy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
38%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Minsk II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
ISL
1 - 0
MIN
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
MIN
0 - 2
VIT
28%
25%
47%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
MIN
1 - 0
KHI
35%
25%
39%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
MIN
0 - 2
BYA
47%
24%
30%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
MIN
1 - 3
FCS
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Smolevichy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
SMO
2 - 0
KHI
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
BYA
0 - 3
SMO
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
SMO
1 - 1
FCS
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
GRA
1 - 0
SMO
63%
23%
14%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
SMO
1 - 2
FCS
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |