Minsk II vs Byaroza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
29.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Minsk II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
MIN
1 - 3
FCS
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
GRA
3 - 0
MIN
60%
25%
16%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
MIN
2 - 0
FCS
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
ZOR
0 - 1
MIN
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
MIN
0 - 1
VOL
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Byaroza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
KHI
4 - 0
BYA
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
BYA
0 - 2
VIT
30%
25%
45%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
BYA
0 - 0
FCS
41%
26%
34%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
GRA
1 - 0
BYA
64%
22%
14%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
BYA
2 - 2
FCS
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |