Minnesota United vs Houston Dynamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Minnesota United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
MIN
2 - 1
AUS
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
NSC
1 - 2
MIN
39%
25%
37%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
COR
4 - 3
MIN
38%
25%
37%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
MIN
4 - 4
POR
37%
26%
38%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
HOD
1 - 2
MIN
28%
25%
47%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Houston Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
COR
1 - 1
HOD
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
HOD
2 - 3
MON
29%
26%
45%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
VAN
2 - 1
HOD
49%
26%
26%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
PHU
6 - 0
HOD
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
HOD
1 - 2
MIN
28%
25%
47%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |