Minija Kretinga vs FC Hegelmann II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+351%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
5º
14º
14º
34
7º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Minija Kretinga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
TRA
2 - 2
MIN
65%
21%
14%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
MIN
1 - 1
BEN
30%
29%
42%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
NEV
1 - 1
MIN
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
MIN
1 - 1
SUD
16%
22%
62%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
MIN
2 - 2
NEP
15%
22%
64%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
FC Hegelmann II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
FHL
1 - 1
GKA
16%
22%
63%
|
18 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
FKE
3 - 1
FHL
79%
14%
7%
|
18 | 56 | 38 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
FHL
2 - 0
BFA
14%
20%
67%
|
17 | 52 | 35 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SIA
4 - 1
FHL
86%
9%
5%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
FHL
0 - 3
FKK
17%
23%
61%
|
18 | 48 | 30 | -1 |