Minervén vs Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
62.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points