Punjab FC vs Mohun Bagan SG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
41.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
2º
8º
9º
46
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
46 | 53 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 44 |
2º
|
58.5% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 44 |
3º
|
44% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 36 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 36 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 35 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 35 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 31 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 31 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 28 |
10º
|
32.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 25 |
11º
|
59% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 18 |
12º
|
61% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 16 |
13º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 96.5% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 3% |
|
Play-offs
|
12.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
87.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Punjab FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2024 |
EAS
4 - 2
MIN
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
JAM
2 - 1
MIN
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
MIN
2 - 0
MOH
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2024 |
MUM
0 - 3
MIN
58%
24%
19%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
MIN
1 - 2
NOR
41%
25%
33%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mohun Bagan SG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
GOA
2 - 1
MBS
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
MBS
3 - 2
KER
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
NOR
0 - 2
MBS
36%
25%
39%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
MBS
1 - 0
CHE
59%
21%
19%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
MBS
3 - 0
JAM
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |