Mineros de Guayana vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
10.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mineros de Guayana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
LAR
3 - 1
MIN
33%
28%
39%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MIN
1 - 2
DEP
72%
19%
10%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
MIN
2 - 1
DEP
72%
18%
10%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2014 |
ZAM
1 - 1
MIN
53%
25%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
MIN
1 - 1
ANG
84%
12%
4%
|
72 | 44 | 28 | +1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
EST
2 - 2
MET
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
TRU
3 - 0
EST
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
TRU
2 - 0
EST
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
EST
1 - 1
MIR
48%
27%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
EST
2 - 0
POR
55%
24%
20%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |