Mineros de Guayana vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
13.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mineros de Guayana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2013 |
MIN
1 - 2
LIB
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2013 |
LIB
2 - 0
MIN
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
MIN
2 - 1
ARA
69%
20%
11%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
ZUL
0 - 1
MIN
28%
28%
44%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
BSC
0 - 2
MIN
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
YAR
0 - 1
EST
39%
28%
34%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
EST
0 - 0
DEP
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
ARA
2 - 3
EST
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
ZAM
3 - 0
EST
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
EST
1 - 0
ARA
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |