Mineros de Guayana vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mineros de Guayana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
YAR
2 - 1
MIN
36%
26%
38%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
MIN
1 - 0
TAC
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
MIN
0 - 1
ARA
49%
24%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ZUL
2 - 1
MIN
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 3
MIN
49%
25%
27%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
EST
2 - 4
ANZ
30%
27%
44%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
MIR
5 - 1
EST
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
TAC
3 - 1
EST
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
EST
0 - 0
YAR
40%
24%
36%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
DEP
1 - 0
EST
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |