Mineros de Guayana vs Estudiantes de Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
10.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mineros de Guayana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2019 |
AME
1 - 0
MIN
48%
24%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
ATL
1 - 1
MIN
23%
27%
50%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
MIN
3 - 2
ANZ
71%
18%
10%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2019 |
MIN
1 - 2
APC
72%
18%
10%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
MIN
1 - 0
MET
73%
18%
9%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
ESC
2 - 2
MON
25%
29%
46%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
LAR
1 - 1
ESC
69%
20%
12%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
EST
4 - 0
ESC
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2019 |
ESC
1 - 0
ZAM
18%
25%
57%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
ESC
0 - 3
CFC
21%
28%
51%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |