Mineros de Guayana vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
14.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mineros de Guayana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 0
MIN
25%
26%
49%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
MIN
3 - 1
ZUL
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ATL
3 - 1
MIN
18%
24%
58%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
EST
2 - 2
MIN
19%
26%
55%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
CFC
0 - 0
MIN
46%
25%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
ARA
2 - 1
TAC
42%
29%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
MON
2 - 1
ARA
37%
28%
35%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2012 |
ARA
3 - 1
YAR
42%
29%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2012 |
ARA
1 - 0
ZUL
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
ANZ
2 - 2
ARA
72%
18%
11%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |