Ascenso MX Finals Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Mineros de Zacatecas vs Leones Negros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mineros de Zacatecas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CAF
1 - 1
ZAC
41%
23%
35%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
ZAC
2 - 1
CAF
55%
22%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 2
ZAC
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ZAC
2 - 0
NEC
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ZAC
3 - 3
MUR
68%
21%
11%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
JUA
3 - 0
UDG
45%
30%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
UDG
2 - 0
MER
50%
28%
22%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ATL
3 - 0
UDG
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
UDG
0 - 0
NEC
42%
28%
31%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ZAC
1 - 1
UDG
43%
30%
27%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |